Key Learnings from Breakout Nations
All Thanks to Ruchir Sharma for his splendid book : Breakout Nations. 1) The old rule of forecasting was to make as many forecasts as possible and publicize the ones you got right. The new rule is to forecast so far into the future that no one will know that you got it wrong. 2) Goodhart's Law (Coined by former Bank of England, adviser Charles Goodhart) : Once an economic indicator get too popular, it loses its predictive value. 3) It is said that it takes money to make money, but for nations to grow rapidly it is much easier to be poor - the poorer, the better. 4) Typically it is difficult for any nation to expand the manufacturing share of its labor force much beyond 20 % , and China is already at around 23%. 5) "Low context", in contrast describes societies like United States and Germany in which people are individual oriented, care about privacy and more likely to stick to timelines and their word. Both India and Brazil are "high-context" societie...